Weather and Forecasting (WAF) (ISSN: 0882-8156; eISSN: 1520-0434) publishes research that is relevant to operational forecasting. This includes papers on significant weather events, forecasting techniques, forecast verification, model parameterizations, data assimilation, model ensembles, statistical postprocessing techniques, the transfer of research results to the forecasting community, and the societal use and value of forecasts. The scope of WAF includes research relevant to forecast lead times ranging from short-term “nowcasts” through seasonal time scales out to approximately two years.
天气和预报(WAF)(ISSN:0882-8156;电子期刊编号:1520-0434)发表与业务预测相关的研究。这包括关于重大天气事件、预报技术、预报验证、模式参数化、数据同化、模式集合、统计后处理技术、研究成果向预报界的转移以及预报的社会用途和价值的论文。WAF的范围包括与预测交付周期相关的研究,从短期“临近预报”到季节性时间尺度,再到大约两年。
Forest-Based and Semiparametric Methods for the Postprocessing of Rainfall Ensemble Forecasting
来源期刊:Weather and ForecastingDOI:10.1175/WAF-D-18-0149.1
Using Near-Ground Storm Relative Helicity in Supercell Tornado Forecasting
来源期刊:Weather and ForecastingDOI:10.1175/WAF-D-19-0115.1
Evaluation of Cumulus and Microphysics Parameterizations in WRF across the Convective Gray Zone
来源期刊:Weather and ForecastingDOI:10.1175/WAF-D-18-0178.1
Long-Lead Statistical Forecasts of the Indian Summer Monsoon Rainfall Based on Causal Precursors
来源期刊:Weather and ForecastingDOI:10.1175/WAF-D-19-0002.1
Evolution of WRF-HAILCAST during the 2014–16 NOAA/Hazardous Weather Testbed Spring Forecasting Experiments
来源期刊:Weather and ForecastingDOI:10.1175/WAF-D-18-0024.1
A Climatology of Quasi-Linear Convective Systems and Their Hazards in the United States
来源期刊:Weather and ForecastingDOI:10.1175/waf-d-19-0014.1
Impact of Ground-Based Remote Sensing Boundary Layer Observations on Short-Term Probabilistic Forecasts of a Tornadic Supercell Event
来源期刊:Weather and ForecastingDOI:10.1175/WAF-D-18-0200.1
Santa Ana Winds: A Descriptive Climatology
来源期刊:Weather and ForecastingDOI:10.1175/WAF-D-18-0160.1
Probabilistic Precipitation Forecasting over East Asia Using Bayesian Model Averaging
来源期刊:Weather and ForecastingDOI:10.1175/WAF-D-18-0093.1
A Feed Forward Neural Network Based on Model Output Statistics for Short-Term Hurricane Intensity Prediction
来源期刊:Weather and ForecastingDOI:10.1175/WAF-D-18-0173.1
Object-Based Verification of Short-Term, Storm-Scale Probabilistic Mesocyclone Guidance from an Experimental Warn-on-Forecast System
来源期刊:Weather and ForecastingDOI:10.1175/waf-d-19-0094.1
Combined Kalman Filter and Universal Kriging to Improve Storm Wind Speed Predictions for the Northeastern United States
来源期刊:Weather and ForecastingDOI:10.1175/WAF-D-18-0068.1
Track Uncertainty in High-Resolution HWRF Ensemble Forecasts of Hurricane Joaquin
来源期刊:Weather and ForecastingDOI:10.1175/waf-d-19-0028.1
TKE-Based Moist Eddy-Diffusivity Mass-Flux (EDMF) Parameterization for Vertical Turbulent Mixing
来源期刊:Weather and ForecastingDOI:10.1175/WAF-D-18-0146.1
Comparison of ECMWF significant wave height forecasts in the China Sea with buoy data
来源期刊:Weather and ForecastingDOI:10.1175/waf-d-19-0043.1
Postprocessing Next-Day Ensemble Probabilistic Precipitation Forecasts Using Random Forests
来源期刊:Weather and ForecastingDOI:10.1175/waf-d-19-0109.1
Numerical Simulation of Rapid Weakening of Hurricane Joaquin with Assimilation of High-Definition Sounding System Dropsondes during the Tropical Cyclone Intensity Experiment: Comparison of Three- and Four-Dimensional Ensemble–Variational Data Assimilation
来源期刊:Weather and ForecastingDOI:10.1175/WAF-D-18-0151.1
A Unified Scheme of Stochastic Physics and Bias Correction in an Ensemble Model to Reduce Both Random and Systematic Errors
来源期刊:Weather and ForecastingDOI:10.1175/WAF-D-19-0032.1
Aircraft Icing Study Using Integrated Observations and Model Data
来源期刊:Weather and ForecastingDOI:10.1175/WAF-D-18-0037.1
Rapid-Update Radar Observations of ZDR Column Depth and Its Use in the Warning Decision Process
来源期刊:Weather and ForecastingDOI:10.1175/WAF-D-19-0024.1
Skill Evaluation of Extended-Range Forecasts of Rainfall and Temperature over the Meteorological Subdivisions of India
来源期刊:Weather and ForecastingDOI:10.1175/WAF-D-18-0055.1
Strength Outlooks for the El Niño–Southern Oscillation
来源期刊:Weather and ForecastingDOI:10.1175/WAF-D-18-0126.1
A Subjective and Objective Evaluation of Model Forecasts of Sumatra Squall Events
来源期刊:Weather and ForecastingDOI:10.1175/waf-d-19-0187.1
Quasi-Operational Testing of Real-Time Storm-Longevity Prediction via Machine Learning
来源期刊:Weather and ForecastingDOI:10.1175/WAF-D-18-0141.1
Characterizing and Constraining Uncertainty Associated with Surface and Boundary Layer Turbulent Fluxes in Simulations of Lake-Effect Snowfall
来源期刊:Weather and ForecastingDOI:10.1175/waf-d-19-0153.1
Examination of the Predictability of Nocturnal Tornado Events in the Southeastern United States
来源期刊:Weather and ForecastingDOI:10.1175/WAF-D-18-0162.1
Verification of Two Years of CNR-ISAC Subseasonal Forecasts
来源期刊:Weather and ForecastingDOI:10.1175/WAF-D-18-0091.1
Long-Duration Freezing Rain Events over North America: Regional Climatology and Thermodynamic Evolution
来源期刊:Weather and ForecastingDOI:10.1175/WAF-D-18-0154.1
Prediction of Asian dust days over Northern China using the KMA-ADAM2 model
来源期刊:Weather and ForecastingDOI:10.1175/WAF-D-19-0008.1
Tornado Fatalities: An Environmental Perspective
来源期刊:Weather and ForecastingDOI:10.1175/waf-d-19-0119.1
Assessment of the Sea Surface Temperature Predictability Based on Multimodel Hindcasts
来源期刊:Weather and ForecastingDOI:10.1175/waf-d-19-0040.1
Tropical Cyclone–Related Precipitation over the Northwest Tropical Pacific in Met Office Global Operational Forecasts
来源期刊:Weather and ForecastingDOI:10.1175/WAF-D-19-0017.1
Validation of Snow Multibands in the Comma Head of an Extratropical Cyclone Using a 40-Member Ensemble
来源期刊:Weather and ForecastingDOI:10.1175/WAF-D-18-0182.1
Comparisons of QPFs Derived from Single- and Multicore Convection-Allowing Ensembles
来源期刊:Weather and ForecastingDOI:10.1175/waf-d-19-0128.1
An Analysis on Perturbation Features of Convection-Allowing Ensemble Prediction Based on the Local Breeding Growth Mode
来源期刊:Weather and ForecastingDOI:10.1175/WAF-D-18-0111.1
Frequency of Persistent Blocking and Ridge Events Related to Precipitation over Eastern China during August and Its Preceding Atmospheric Signals
来源期刊:Weather and ForecastingDOI:10.1175/waf-d-19-0047.1
Seasonal Prediction of North Atlantic Accumulated Cyclone Energy and Major Hurricane Activity
来源期刊:Weather and ForecastingDOI:10.1175/WAF-D-18-0125.1
Test of a Weather-Adaptive Dual-Resolution Hybrid Warn-on-Forecast Analysis and Forecast System for Several Severe Weather Events
来源期刊:Weather and ForecastingDOI:10.1175/waf-d-19-0071.1
Probabilistic Contingency Tables: An Improvement to Verify Probability Forecasts
来源期刊:Weather and ForecastingDOI:10.1175/waf-d-19-0116.1
An Evaluation of the GOES-16 Rapid Scan for Nowcasting in Southeastern Brazil: Analysis of a Severe Hailstorm Case
来源期刊:Weather and ForecastingDOI:10.1175/waf-d-19-0070.1
The Impacts of Using Mixed Physics in the Community Leveraged Unified Ensemble
来源期刊:Weather and ForecastingDOI:10.1175/WAF-D-18-0197.1
The Extreme Precipitation Index (EPI): A Coupled Dynamic–Thermodynamic Metric to Diagnose Midlatitude Floods Associated with Flow Reversal
来源期刊:Weather and ForecastingDOI:10.1175/WAF-D-18-0156.1
Antecedent North Pacific Jet Regimes Conducive to the Development of Continental U.S. Extreme Temperature Events during the Cool Season
来源期刊:Weather and ForecastingDOI:10.1175/WAF-D-18-0168.1
Reexamination of the Tropical Cyclone Wind–Pressure Relationship Based on Pre-1987 Aircraft Data in the Western North Pacific
来源期刊:Weather and ForecastingDOI:10.1175/waf-d-18-0002.1
Introducing Lightning Threat Messaging Using the GOES-16 Day Cloud Phase Distinction RGB Composite
来源期刊:Weather and ForecastingDOI:10.1175/WAF-D-19-0049.1
Lake-Effect Snowbands in Baroclinic Environments
来源期刊:Weather and ForecastingDOI:10.1175/waf-d-18-0191.1
Optimizing the Lightning Warning Radii at Spaceport Florida
来源期刊:Weather and ForecastingDOI:10.1175/waf-d-19-0129.1
Summer- and Wintertime Variations of the Surface and Near-Surface Urban Heat Island in a Semiarid Environment
来源期刊:Weather and ForecastingDOI:10.1175/waf-d-19-0054.1
Developing an Automated Medium-Range Flood Awareness System for Switzerland Based on Probabilistic Forecasts of Integrated Water Vapor Fluxes
来源期刊:Weather and ForecastingDOI:10.1175/waf-d-18-0189.1
On the Evaluation of Probabilistic Thunderstorm Forecasts and the Automated Generation of Thunderstorm Threat Areas during Environment Canada Pan Am Science Showcase
来源期刊:Weather and ForecastingDOI:10.1175/WAF-D-19-0011.1